Daily market risk briefings
Every daily Game Over Gauge reading since 27 October 2025: the crash-risk score, the geopolitical flashpoints behind it and the biggest market moves. 294 briefings so far. Subscribe via RSS to get each one as it's published.
Risk calendar
Each square is one day, coloured by risk band. Select a day to open its briefing.
- Safe 0 days
- Cautious 4 days
- Risky 94 days
- Nearly Crash 194 days
- Game Over 2 days
Methodology v2. Days before the switch are a point-in-time backfill: each day uses only data that was available then. Geopolitics on backfilled days is the published LLM score where one existed, otherwise the Caldara-Iacoviello GPR percentile.
Show data table
| Date | Total | Financial | Geopolitical | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 49.6 | 46.4 | 67.7 | Cautious |
| 2026-10-02 | 51.8 | 49.4 | 65.7 | Risky |
| 2026-10-01 | 51.5 | 49.4 | 63.8 | Risky |
| 2026-09-30 | 50.8 | 48.4 | 64.6 | Risky |
| 2026-09-29 | 50.0 | 47.0 | 67.1 | Risky |
| 2026-09-28 | 42.5 | 38.4 | 65.4 | Cautious |
| 2026-09-25 | 43.9 | 41.1 | 59.8 | Cautious |
| 2026-09-24 | 39.9 | 36.2 | 60.8 | Cautious |
| 2026-09-23 | 34.4 | 29.8 | 60.8 | Safe |
| 2026-09-22 | 38.5 | 29.9 | 87.1 | Cautious |
| 2026-09-21 | 37.9 | 34.0 | 59.7 | Cautious |
| 2026-09-18 | 39.9 | 36.1 | 61.3 | Cautious |
| 2026-09-17 | 45.5 | 43.0 | 60.0 | Cautious |
| 2026-09-16 | 45.8 | 43.1 | 61.4 | Cautious |
| 2026-09-15 | 44.6 | 41.1 | 64.0 | Cautious |
| 2026-09-14 | 40.6 | 36.3 | 65.6 | Cautious |
| 2026-09-11 | 48.8 | 42.2 | 85.6 | Cautious |
| 2026-09-10 | 41.7 | 38.2 | 61.7 | Cautious |
| 2026-09-09 | 39.6 | 35.6 | 62.3 | Cautious |
| 2026-09-08 | 40.7 | 32.4 | 87.8 | Cautious |
| 2026-09-07 | 35.4 | 31.4 | 58.2 | Cautious |
| 2026-09-04 | 33.2 | 29.0 | 57.1 | Safe |
| 2026-09-03 | 39.7 | 36.4 | 58.2 | Cautious |
| 2026-09-02 | 43.5 | 38.3 | 73.1 | Cautious |
| 2026-09-01 | 36.6 | 30.6 | 70.7 | Cautious |
| 2026-08-31 | 32.2 | 27.4 | 59.5 | Safe |
| 2026-08-28 | 31.2 | 26.4 | 58.3 | Safe |
| 2026-08-27 | 34.7 | 30.1 | 60.8 | Safe |
| 2026-08-26 | 35.8 | 31.2 | 62.0 | Cautious |
| 2026-08-25 | 38.3 | 34.4 | 60.2 | Cautious |
| 2026-08-24 | 36.6 | 32.8 | 58.4 | Cautious |
| 2026-08-21 | 39.1 | 36.0 | 56.7 | Cautious |
| 2026-08-20 | 33.5 | 31.8 | 42.8 | Safe |
| 2026-08-19 | 36.3 | 37.0 | 32.8 | Cautious |
| 2026-08-18 | 34.2 | 34.0 | 35.2 | Safe |
| 2026-08-17 | 32.0 | 29.7 | 44.7 | Safe |
| 2026-08-14 | 31.9 | 28.1 | 53.4 | Safe |
| 2026-08-13 | 37.2 | 32.9 | 62.0 | Cautious |
| 2026-08-12 | 41.8 | 36.2 | 73.1 | Cautious |
| 2026-08-11 | 39.1 | 35.0 | 62.6 | Cautious |
| 2026-08-10 | 35.9 | 31.5 | 60.6 | Cautious |
| 2026-08-07 | 39.8 | 35.5 | 64.4 | Cautious |
| 2026-08-06 | 38.9 | 33.9 | 67.2 | Cautious |
| 2026-08-05 | 39.7 | 34.3 | 70.2 | Cautious |
| 2026-08-04 | 40.9 | 36.1 | 68.5 | Cautious |
| 2026-08-03 | 46.8 | 42.6 | 70.3 | Cautious |
| 2026-07-31 | 50.1 | 46.1 | 72.9 | Risky |
| 2026-07-30 | 56.9 | 54.2 | 72.2 | Risky |
| 2026-07-29 | 53.0 | 49.9 | 70.6 | Risky |
| 2026-07-28 | 53.2 | 50.2 | 69.9 | Risky |
| 2026-07-27 | 52.0 | 49.0 | 69.0 | Risky |
| 2026-07-24 | 52.3 | 49.0 | 71.4 | Risky |
| 2026-07-23 | 44.9 | 39.8 | 73.3 | Cautious |
| 2026-07-22 | 46.1 | 41.4 | 73.0 | Cautious |
| 2026-07-21 | 49.4 | 45.3 | 72.3 | Cautious |
| 2026-07-20 | 49.4 | 45.7 | 70.8 | Cautious |
| 2026-07-17 | 45.2 | 40.6 | 71.0 | Cautious |
| 2026-07-16 | 41.6 | 37.0 | 68.1 | Cautious |
| 2026-07-15 | 46.1 | 42.2 | 68.4 | Cautious |
| 2026-07-14 | 47.4 | 44.2 | 65.9 | Cautious |
Briefings published before the switch to methodology v2 keep the numbers and bands they were published with (v1 bands: 0/20/40/60/80), so the calendar and archive can differ from the chart.
Archive
October 2026
- 49.6% The Overall Gauge reads 49.6 (Cautious); financial stress is 46.4 (Cautious) and the geopolitical layer is 67.7 (Severe). Main financial contributors: S&P...
- 70.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 75.9% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 70.2% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 53.0% (Risky)....
- 70.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 75.6% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 70.2% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 54.1%...
- 71.1% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 77.6% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 71.1% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 51.6% (Risky)....
September 2026
- 70.3% Financial Composite and Overall Gauges are Nearly Crash; Geopolitical is Risky. Somali pirates and Pakistan's Saudi defense are top geopolitical...
- 69.3% Financial Composite and Overall Gauges signal nearly crash conditions. Ethiopia conflict and US-Iran talks are top geopolitical risks. These factors suggest...
- 65.8% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 69.6% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 65.8% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 54.3% (Risky)....
- 68.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 73.2% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 68.3% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 53.3% (Risky)....
- 67.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 73.2% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 67.2% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 49.1% (Risky)....
- 72.1% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 79.7% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 72.1% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 49.5% (Risky)....
- 71.7% Financial Composite and Overall Gauges are Nearly Crash; Geopolitical Layer is Risky. US-China summit talks and AI tech decoupling are top...
- 63.7% Financial gauges signal near-crash conditions, with geopolitics at risky levels. US-Iran diplomacy and UK debt warnings are key geopolitical drivers. These...
- 63.9% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 69.0% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 63.9% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 48.5% (Risky)....
- 63.9% Financial Composite and Overall Gauges are Nearly Crash, Geopolitical Layer is Risky. Ukrainian drone attacks and Gaza conflict drive geopolitical...
- 64.7% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 69.1% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 64.7% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 51.5%...
- 64.6% Financial Composite and Overall Gauges are Nearly Crash, Geopolitical Layer is Risky. Yemen conflict and Iran human rights allegations are top...
- 64.3% Financial Composite and Overall Gauges are Nearly Crash, Geopolitical is Risky. US tariffs on Russian oil and Falklands oil project suspension are top...
- 67.6% Financial Composite and Overall Gauges are Nearly Crash, Geopolitical Layer is Risky. US charges over Russian plots and Iran war vote drive...
- 68.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 72.8% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 68.2% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 54.4% (Risky)....
- 74.1% Financial Composite is 80.2% (Game Over), Overall Gauge 74.1% (Nearly Crash), Geopolitical 55.5% (Risky). Russia strikes and Israeli settlement expansion...
- 74.2% Financial Composite is 80.3% (Game Over), Overall Gauge 74.2% (Nearly Crash), Geopolitical 56.1% (Risky). Fatal Strike and Houthi seizure are top...
- 73.4% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 80.2% (Game Over), the Overall Gauge hit 73.4% (Nearly Crash), and the Ge
- 66.2% Financial gauges signal near-crash conditions. Ukraine's attacks and Trump's Iran war prediction drive risk. These geopolitical tensions likely fuel market caution.
- 63.5% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 67.8% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 63.5% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 50.7%...
- 65.0% Financial gauges signal nearly crash conditions, while geopolitics remain risky. Israeli strikes and escalating air campaigns in Lebanon are key...
- 65.7% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 71.0% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 65.7% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 50.0% (Risky)....
- 66.0% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 71.0% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 66.0% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 50.9% (Risky)....
- 66.1% Financial Composite and Overall Gauges are Nearly Crash; Geopolitical Layer is Risky. Argentina's Falklands threat and Houthi attacks are top geopolitical...
- 66.9% Financial Composite and Overall Gauges are Nearly Crash, Geopolitical Layer is Risky. China's Iran support and Iran's ICC probe are top geopolitical...
August 2026
- 62.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 65.3% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 62.2% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 52.9%...
- 62.4% Financial gauges signal near-crash conditions, with geopolitics at risky levels. Iran war strikes and US control of Venezuelan oil are top drivers. These...
- 61.8% Financial gauges signal nearly crash conditions, with geopolitics remaining risky. Iran war and Gulf security, plus US-Venezuela oil deal, are top...
- 64.4% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 68.3% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 64.4% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 52.6%...
- 68.8% Financial Composite and Overall Gauges are Nearly Crash; Geopolitical Layer is Risky. Israel's attacks and malign activity are top geopolitical...
- 70.2% Financial Composite and Overall Gauges are Nearly Crash; Geopolitical is Risky. Trump's Iran threats and Sudan's war risks are top drivers. These factors...
- 69.4% Financial Composite Gauge is 74.7% (Nearly Crash), Overall Gauge 69.4% (Nearly Crash), and Geopolitical Layer 53.6% (Risky). Pakistan reports Iran-US war...
- 70.0% Financial Composite and Overall Gauges are Nearly Crash, Geopolitical Layer is Risky. War in Iran and Ukraine air defense needs are top drivers. These...
- 68.4% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 73.4% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 68.4% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 53.2% (Risky)....
- 71.6% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 76.3% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 71.6% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 57.4% (Risky)....
- 70.8% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 75.4% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 70.8% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 57.1% (Risky). Key...
- 64.4% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 67.9% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 64.4% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 53.7% (Risky). Key...
- 69.9% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 74.4% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 69.9% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 56.3% (Risky). Key...
- 70.0% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 74.5% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 70.0% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 56.6% (Risky). Key...
- 69.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 74.1% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 69.3% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 55.0% (Risky). Key...
- 69.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 72.6% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 69.3% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 59.2% (Risky). Key...
- 68.6% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 70.4% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 68.6% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 63.4% (Severe)....
- 63.5% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 64.9% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 63.5% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 59.4% (Risky). Key...
- 63.5% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 64.0% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 63.5% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 61.9% (Severe)....
- 65.0% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 66.4% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 65.0% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 61.0% (Severe). Key...
- 65.8% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 66.4% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 65.8% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 63.9% (Severe)....
July 2026
- 72.7% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 75.8% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 72.7% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 63.5% (Severe). Key...
- 66.5% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 67.8% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 66.5% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 62.5% (Severe)....
- 63.6% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 64.8% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 63.6% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 60.0% (Risky)....
- 63.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 64.6% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 63.2% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 59.2% (Risky). Key...
- 63.4% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 65.2% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 63.4% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 57.9% (Risky). The...
- 68.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 70.3% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 68.3% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 62.1% (Severe)....
- 67.5% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 70.1% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 67.5% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 59.6% (Risky). Key...
- 80.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 85.8% (Game Over), the Overall Gauge hit 80.2% (Game Over), and the Geopolitical Layer is 63.3% (Severe). Key...
- 67.9% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 69.0% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 67.9% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 64.3% (Severe). Key...
- 67.5% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 68.7% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 67.5% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 64.0% (Severe). Key...
- 67.7% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 69.3% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 67.7% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 62.8% (Severe). Top...
- 61.7% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 62.0% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 61.7% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 60.7% (Severe)....
- 64.1% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 66.1% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 64.1% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 58.1% (Risky). Key...
- 63.8% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 66.1% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 63.8% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 56.8% (Risky). Key...
- 63.7% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 64.6% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 63.7% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 61.0% (Severe)....
- 63.5% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 65.2% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 63.5% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 58.4% (Risky). Key...
- 64.5% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 66.0% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 64.5% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 60.0% (Severe). Key...
- 63.7% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 64.5% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 63.7% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 61.2% (Severe). The...
- 63.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 64.5% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 63.3% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 59.7% (Risky). The...
- 60.1% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 58.9% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 60.1% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 63.9% (Severe). Critical...
- 59.1% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 58.9% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 59.1% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 59.7% (Risky). Key drivers...
- 60.4% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 60.9% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 60.4% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 58.6% (Risky). The...
- 62.0% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 63.0% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 62.0% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 59.2% (Risky). The...
- 61.0% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 62.9% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 61.0% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 55.0% (Risky). This...
- 55.8% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 57.4% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 55.8% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 50.8% (Risky). Risk is driven by...
- 55.5% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 57.0% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 55.5% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 51.0% (Risky). Key drivers...
- 56.6% Financial gauges are in the Risky band. Iran's Hormuz access and Trump-Putin call are top drivers. Geopolitical risks may weigh on market sentiment.
- 56.8% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 57.3% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 56.8% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 55.3% (Risky). Key drivers...
- 56.0% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 57.1% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 56.0% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 52.8% (Risky). Elevated risks are...
- 57.7% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 59.6% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 57.7% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 52.2% (Risky). This elevated risk...
- 57.0% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 58.7% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 57.0% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 52.0% (Risky). Geopolitical risk...
June 2026
- 59.8% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 63.0% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 59.8% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 50.1% (Risky). Key...
- 59.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 62.1% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 59.2% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 50.7% (Risky). Key drivers...
- 61.3% Financial gauges signal near-crash conditions, while geopolitics remain risky. Iran attacks and US MoU rethink drive geopolitical concerns. These tensions...
- 61.0% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 62.5% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 61.0% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 56.2% (Risky). The...
- 59.7% Financial Composite is 62.3% (Nearly Crash), Overall 59.7% (Risky), Geopolitical 52.1% (Risky). UN Strait of Hormuz pause and IAEA Iran demands are top...
- 63.0% Sentence 1: The Financial Composite Gauge registered 67.5% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 63.0% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 49.5%...
- 60.9% Financial Composite and Overall Gauges signal "Nearly Crash" at 64.8% and 60.9% respectively, while Geopolitical Layer is "Risky" at 49.0%. US Senate's Iran...
- 58.1% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 60.4% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 58.1% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 51.2% (Risky)....
- 61.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 64.9% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 61.3% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 50.4% (Risky). Key...
- 63.1% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 65.9% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 63.1% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 54.6% (Risky)....
- 63.6% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 65.7% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 63.6% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 57.3% (Risky). Key...
- 63.8% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 65.3% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 63.8% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 59.3% (Risky). Key...
- 63.8% Financial Composite and Overall Gauges are Nearly Crash; Geopolitical Layer is Risky. US-Iran deal and Strait of Hormuz reopening are top geopolitical...
- 66.6% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 71.1% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 66.6% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 53.1% (Risky)....
- 62.4% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 65.1% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 62.4% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 54.2% (Risky)....
- 61.8% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 63.2% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 61.8% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 57.3% (Risky). Top...
- 68.0% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 71.3% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 68.0% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 58.2% (Risky). Key...
- 67.7% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 70.2% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 67.7% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 60.4% (Severe)....
- 71.0% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 73.2% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 71.0% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 64.5% (Severe). Key...
- 66.5% Financial gauges signal near-crash conditions. US-Iran strikes and Strait of Hormuz closure drive this. Markets are highly sensitive to escalating Middle...
- 69.0% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 72.2% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 69.0% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 59.5% (Risky)....
- 69.2% Financial Composite and Overall Gauges are Nearly Crash, Geopolitical Layer is Risky. Iran conflict, oil prices, and Russia-Ukraine war are top...
- 63.6% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 64.4% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 63.6% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 61.1% (Severe). The...
- 62.1% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 63.2% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 62.1% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 58.6% (Risky)....
- 61.4% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 62.8% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 61.4% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 57.1% (Risky). This...
- 65.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 69.3% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 65.2% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 52.9% (Risky). Key...
- 60.5% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 63.2% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 60.5% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 52.6% (Risky). The...
- 68.8% Financial gauges signal near-crash conditions. Gulf tensions and Lebanon invasion drive risk. Markets reflect heightened geopolitical instability.
- 71.7% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 76.9% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 71.7% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 55.9% (Risky). Top...
- 77.6% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 83.5% (Game Over), the Overall Gauge hit 77.6% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 60.1% (Severe). Risk...
May 2026
- 77.8% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 84.6% (Game Over), the Overall Gauge hit 77.8% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 57.3% (Risky)....
- 63.0% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 66.3% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 63.0% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 53.1% (Risky). Key...
- 62.4% Financial Composite and Overall Gauges are Nearly Crash, while Geopolitical is Risky. US-Iran deal nearing and NATO-Russia drone clash are top geopolitical...
- 61.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 65.2% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 61.2% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 49.4% (Risky). Key...
- 63.1% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 68.2% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 63.1% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 48.0% (Risky). Top...
- 64.0% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 68.6% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 64.0% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 50.2% (Risky). Key...
- 64.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 68.6% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 64.2% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 51.0% (Risky)....
- 65.1% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 68.6% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 65.1% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 54.4% (Risky)....
- 65.1% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 68.7% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 65.1% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 54.4% (Risky). Key...
- 62.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 66.0% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 62.3% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 51.3% (Risky). Top...
- 63.6% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 67.0% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 63.6% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 53.3% (Risky). Top...
- 64.9% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 67.4% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 64.9% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 57.5% (Risky). ...
- 64.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 65.1% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 64.2% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 61.7% (Severe). ...
- 65.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 67.1% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 65.2% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 59.7% (Risky)....
- 65.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 68.6% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 65.3% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 55.5% (Risky). Key...
- 62.6% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 65.3% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 62.6% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 54.5% (Risky)....
- 65.8% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 68.9% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 65.8% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 56.2% (Risky). Key...
- 65.4% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 67.5% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 65.4% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 58.9% (Risky). ...
- 62.0% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 64.3% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 62.0% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 55.0% (Risky). ...
- 65.8% Geopolitical tensions are driving market risk. Iran-US talks stalled, oil prices surged. This heightens the "Nearly Crash" risk.
- 65.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 67.9% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 65.2% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 57.2% (Risky). Main...
- 66.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 67.9% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 66.2% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 60.9% (Severe). Top...
- 66.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 67.9% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 66.3% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 61.4% (Severe). ...
- 69.1% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 70.6% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 69.1% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 64.5% (Severe). Key...
- 71.9% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 75.2% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 71.9% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 61.9% (Severe). ...
- 64.4% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 64.1% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 64.4% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 65.4% (Severe). ...
- 67.9% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 68.1% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 67.9% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 67.2% (Severe). ...
- 66.9% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 68.0% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 66.9% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 63.3% (Severe)....
- 66.0% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 68.0% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 66.0% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 60.1% (Severe)....
- 65.6% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 68.8% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 65.6% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 56.0% (Risky). Key...
April 2026
- 63.8% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 67.8% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 63.8% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 51.8% (Risky). The...
- 64.9% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 68.1% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 64.9% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 55.3% (Risky). The...
- 64.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 68.4% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 64.3% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 52.3% (Risky)....
- 64.7% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 68.4% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 64.7% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 53.6% (Risky). Top...
- 64.5% Financial gauges signal nearly crash conditions, with geopolitics at risky levels. Strait of Hormuz blockade and Russian refinery drone attack are top...
- 63.0% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 64.7% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 63.0% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 58.0% (Risky)....
- 63.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 64.3% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 63.3% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 60.5% (Severe). ...
- 63.1% Financial gauges signal near-crash conditions, with geopolitics at severe levels. Strait of Hormuz tensions and US-Iran escalation threats are top...
- 67.8% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 68.2% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 67.8% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 66.3% (Severe). The...
- 65.5% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 65.9% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 65.5% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 64.2% (Severe). The...
- 64.9% Financial Composite Gauge is 66.2% (Nearly Crash), Overall Gauge 64.9% (Nearly Crash), Geopolitical Layer 61.0% (Severe). Strait of Hormuz status and US...
- 64.4% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 66.9% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 64.4% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 56.9% (Risky)....
- 65.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 67.2% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 65.3% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 59.6% (Risky). Main...
- 63.1% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 63.9% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 63.1% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 60.6% (Severe)....
- 71.9% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 74.6% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 71.9% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 64.1% (Severe). The...
- 66.0% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 67.0% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 66.0% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 63.0% (Severe)....
- 66.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 68.2% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 66.3% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 60.8% (Severe). Key...
- 70.2% The primary geopolitical drivers are a potential Strait of Hormuz blockade (95.0%) and a direct US-Iran conflict (88.0%). This severe geopolitical risk is...
- 68.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 72.8% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 68.3% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 54.9% (Risky). The...
- 65.8% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 69.9% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 65.8% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 53.3% (Risky). Key...
- 64.8% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 67.5% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 64.8% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 56.9% (Risky)....
- 67.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 69.2% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 67.2% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 61.1% (Severe). Key...
- 70.6% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 72.5% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 70.6% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 65.1% (Severe). Key...
- 72.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 75.7% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 72.3% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 62.2% (Severe)....
- 72.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 75.6% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 72.2% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 61.9% (Severe). The...
- 72.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 75.9% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 72.3% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 61.7% (Severe)....
- 72.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 76.1% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 72.2% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 60.6% (Severe)....
- 74.5% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 79.3% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 74.5% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 60.1% (Severe)....
March 2026
- 76.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 80.3% (Game Over), the Overall Gauge hit 76.3% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 64.3% (Severe). The...
- 71.9% Financial gauges signal nearly crash conditions. US-Israel war and intensified Hezbollah fighting drive this. Markets reflect heightened geopolitical risk...
- 68.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 69.8% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 68.3% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 63.9% (Severe)....
- 69.1% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 70.8% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 69.1% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 64.0% (Severe). Top...
- 66.7% Financial Composite and Overall Gauges are Nearly Crash; Geopolitical Layer is Severe. US-Israeli strikes and Strait of Hormuz risk are top drivers. These...
- 75.4% Financial gauges signal nearly crash conditions, with geopolitics severe. Iran war expansion and energy inflation are top geopolitical drivers. These risks...
- 69.9% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 71.3% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 69.9% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 65.7%...
- 70.5% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 70.7% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 70.5% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 69.9% (Severe). The...
- 68.5% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 68.1% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 68.5% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 69.8% (Severe). Top...
- 67.3% Financial Composite and Overall Gauges are Nearly Crash; Geopolitical Layer is Severe. Iranian missile strikes and Hormuz Strait closure threats are top...
- 66.5% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 66.3% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 66.5% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 67.0% (Severe)....
- 67.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 66.4% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 67.3% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 70.0% (Severe)....
- 65.4% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 65.1% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 65.4% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 66.2% (Severe). Key...
- 71.5% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 74.1% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 71.5% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 63.4% (Severe)....
- 79.7% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 84.1% (Game Over), the Overall Gauge hit 79.7% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 66.7% (Severe). Drone...
- 72.7% Market gauges signal elevated risk. Hormuz threat and war escalation dominate. These factors suggest significant market caution.
- 69.9% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 71.1% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 69.9% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 66.3% (Severe). Key...
- 69.3% Financial gauges signal nearly crash conditions, with severe geopolitical risk. US strike on Iran's oil terminal and conflict intensification are top...
- 70.3% Financial gauges signal near-crash conditions, with geopolitics severely impacted. Strait of Hormuz blockade and Gulf energy force majeure are top...
- 67.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 67.0% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 67.3% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 68.2% (Severe)....
- 68.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 69.2% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 68.2% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 65.2% (Severe). Top...
- 71.1% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 73.9% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 71.1% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 62.7% (Severe)....
- 71.1% Financial gauges signal "Nearly Crash" risk. Geopolitical drivers: oil prices and G7 meeting. Market faces severe geopolitical pressure.
- 71.0% Financial gauges signal nearly crash conditions, with geopolitics at severe levels. Top drivers: Israeli strikes on oil, drone attacks in...
- 70.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 72.5% (Nearly Crash), Overall Gauge hit 70.3% (Nearly Crash), and Geopolitical Layer is 63.8% (Severe). Missile...
- 63.7% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 63.2% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 63.7% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 65.2% (Severe). Top...
- 68.4% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 69.1% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 68.4% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 66.3% (Severe)....
- 67.7% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 68.1% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 67.7% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 66.5% (Severe). Top...
- 64.9% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 65.6% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 64.9% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 62.6% (Severe). Top...
- 58.5% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 58.0% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 58.5% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 60.1% (Severe). Primary drivers...
- 53.8% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 53.1% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 53.8% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 55.9% (Risky). Key drivers...
February 2026
- 54.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 53.2% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 54.2% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 57.1% (Risky). Top drivers...
- 53.0% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 53.1% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 53.0% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 52.9% (Risky). Pakistan strikes...
- 55.0% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 54.3% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 55.0% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 57.1% (Risky). Primary...
- 54.9% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 54.2% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 54.9% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 57.1% (Risky). Primary drivers...
- 62.8% Financial Composite and Overall Gauges are 63.4% and 62.8% (Nearly Crash), Geopolitical Layer is 61.3% (Severe). Tariffs and canal port seizures are top...
- 56.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 55.0% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 56.2% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 60.0% (Severe). Primary drivers...
- 56.0% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 56.0% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 56.0% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 56.1% (Risky). Trump's proposed...
- 54.7% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 55.6% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 54.7% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 51.9% (Risky). Key drivers...
- 53.5% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 55.5% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 53.5% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 47.7% (Risky). Pressure stems...
- 52.6% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 53.7% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 52.6% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 49.4% (Risky). Primary drivers...
- 54.7% Financial Composite and Overall Gauges are Risky at 56.0% and 54.7%. Geopolitical Layer is also Risky at 50.6%. Gaza-Israel tensions and Russia-Ukraine...
- 53.4% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 52.9% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 53.4% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 54.8% (Risky). Primary drivers...
- 52.7% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 53.0% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 52.7% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 51.7% (Risky). Key drivers...
- 52.6% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 53.4% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 52.6% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 50.3% (Risky). Geopolitical risk...
- 52.7% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 53.2% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 52.7% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 51.2% (Risky). Key drivers...
- 53.6% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 53.2% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 53.6% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 54.7% (Risky). Primary drivers...
- 55.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 56.8% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 55.2% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 50.5% (Risky). Top drivers are...
- 55.7% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 56.0% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 55.7% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 54.7% (Risky). Primary drivers...
- 55.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 56.7% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 55.3% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 51.0% (Risky). Key drivers...
- 61.5% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 64.8% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 61.5% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 51.3% (Risky). Top...
- 62.5% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 66.2% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 62.5% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 51.2% (Risky). Key...
- 62.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 65.8% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 62.3% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 52.1% (Risky). Top...
- 55.9% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 57.5% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 55.9% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 50.8% (Risky). Key geopolitical...
- 57.4% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 58.4% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 57.4% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 54.5% (Risky). Key drivers are US...
- 56.0% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 57.9% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 56.0% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 50.4% (Risky). Key geopolitical...
- 61.1% The Financial Composite was 64.6% and Overall 61.1%, both Nearly Crash; the Geopolitical Layer scored 50.6% (Risky). Top drivers include renewed Russian...
- 61.8% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 64.6% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 61.8% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 53.4% (Risky). Top...
- 61.9% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 64.6% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 61.9% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 53.8% (Risky)....
January 2026
- 59.4% FCG registered 60.7% (Nearly Crash); Overall Gauge hit 59.4% (Risky); Geopolitical Layer is 55.6% (Risky). Top geopolitical drivers are Iran announcing...
- 61.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 63.0% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 61.2% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 55.9%...
- 61.4% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 64.2% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 61.4% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 53.0%...
- 56.9% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 58.4% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 56.9% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 52.4% (Risky). Top geopolitical...
- 56.5% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 57.5% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 56.5% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 53.5% (Risky). Escalating US-Iran...
- 56.7% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 59.0% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 56.7% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 49.8% (Risky). Syria's shifting...
- 58.4% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 60.8% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 58.4% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 51.3% (Risky). Main...
- 56.7% The Financial Composite Gauge was 58.6% (Risky), Overall 56.7% (Risky), and Geopolitical 50.9% (Risky). Key drivers include continued Russian strikes and...
- 57.5% Financial Composite hit 60.4% (Nearly Crash); Overall and Geopolitical layers are 57.5% and 48.8% (Risky). Geopolitical drivers are Trump's Iran armada...
- 60.8% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 65.2% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 60.8% (Nearly Crash), and the Geopolitical Layer is 47.8% (Risky). Top...
- 59.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 61.6% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 59.2% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 52.0% (Risky). US and Iran...
- 52.7% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 53.2% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 52.7% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 51.2% (Risky). Geopolitical risk...
- 52.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 53.2% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 52.2% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 49.2% (Risky). Geopolitical risk...
- 39.5% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 52.7% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 39.5% (Cautious), and the Geopolitical Layer is 0.0% (Unavailable). No...
- 39.5% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 52.7% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 39.5% (Cautious), and the Geopolitical Layer is 0.0% (Unavailable). No...
- 51.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 53.3% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 51.3% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 45.4% (Risky). Geopolitical risk...
- 59.0% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 62.4% (Nearly Crash), the Overall Gauge hit 59.0% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 48.8% (Risky). China's...
- 55.9% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 57.0% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 55.9% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 52.5% (Risky). Key drivers...
- 55.4% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 55.9% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 55.4% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 54.0% (Risky). Geopolitical risk...
- 55.7% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 56.6% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 55.7% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 52.9% (Risky). The primary...
- 56.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 56.6% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 56.3% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 55.2% (Risky). Geopolitical risk...
- 54.8% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 55.4% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 54.8% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 52.8% (Risky). Top drivers...
- 55.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 55.5% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 55.2% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 54.3% (Risky). Key drivers...
- 56.1% All three gauges—FC (55.5%), Overall (56.1%), and Geopolitical (57.9%)—remain firmly in the Risky band. Key drivers include Russia protecting a US-pursued...
- 57.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 57.5% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 57.3% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 56.5% (Risky). Top drivers...
- 45.9% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 52.4% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 45.9% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 26.4% (Cautious). Top...
- 46.9% The Financial Composite Gauge is 52.0% (Risky), the Overall Gauge is 46.9% (Risky), and Geopolitical risk is 31.7% (Elevated). Key drivers are high Russian...
- 43.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 52.0% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 43.2% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 16.9% (Cautious). Key...
December 2025
- 46.9% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 52.0% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 46.9% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 31.5% (Elevated). Iran's protest...
- 54.7% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 56.0% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 54.7% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 50.5% (Severe). Intensification...
- 54.6% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 56.3% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 54.6% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 49.4% (Elevated). Geopolitical...
- 49.0% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 52.8% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 49.0% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 37.5% (Elevated). Key drivers...
- 48.7% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 52.1% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 48.7% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 38.6% (Elevated). Geopolitical...
- 49.0% The Financial Composite Gauge was 52.9% (Risky), the Overall Gauge was 49.0% (Risky), and Geopolitical risk hit 37.4% (Elevated). Key drivers included...
- 49.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 52.2% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 49.3% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 40.4% (Elevated). Key drivers are...
- 56.7% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 52.4% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 56.7% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 69.7% (Severe). Severe...
- 57.6% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 53.6% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 57.6% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 69.5% (Severe). Ukraine conflict...
- 56.2% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 52.9% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 56.2% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 66.0% (Severe). Top drivers...
- 56.9% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 52.9% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 56.9% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 69.0% (Severe). Geopolitical risk...
- 56.7% The Financial Composite Gauge was 52.9% (Risky), the Overall Gauge was 56.7% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer reached 68.0% (Severe). Geopolitical risk...
- 57.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 53.6% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 57.3% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 68.5% (Severe). Drivers include...
- 56.3% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 53.2% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 56.3% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 65.6% (Severe). Geopolitical...
- 57.7% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 53.9% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 57.7% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 68.9% (Severe). Geopolitical risk...
- 56.8% The Financial Composite Gauge registered 53.9% (Risky), the Overall Gauge hit 56.8% (Risky), and the Geopolitical Layer is 65.4% (Severe). Key drivers...
- 80.7% Severe stress dominates; capital preservation critical. Recent adverse moves add 12.0 penalty points. Market regime: Mixed. Geopolitical tensions add 66%...
- 48.1% Gauge Risky
- 47.7% Gauge Risky
- 49.0% Gauge Risky
- 49.1% Gauge Risky
- 47.5% Gauge Risky
- 46.6% Gauge Risky
- 47.5% Gauge Risky
- 47.2% Gauge Risky
- 46.4% Gauge Risky
- 46.9% Gauge Risky
- 48.3% Gauge Risky
- 46.3% Gauge Risky
- 46.7% Gauge Risky